ChatGPT · analysis, overall

Past-paper analysis: where the marks went, 2016–25

ChatGPT’s student revision guide: a topic heatmap for both papers together, then Paper 1 and Paper 2 separately, then the recurring question families for each paper with past-year questions to practise.

Your topic heatmap

Ten years of papers, distilled into revision priorities. The gold divider marks the current syllabus years.

36 / 180Algebra + equationsAverage marks in 2023-25
58%Seven largest topic areasShare of marks in 2023-25, rounded
17 / 22Topics seen in all 10 yearsFull printed sets, 2016-25

Where the marks went

Same topic order on all three heatmaps. The gold divider marks the 4052 syllabus years (2023 onwards); 4048 before.

Topic4048 syllabus4052 syllabus2023–25 avg marksYears seen 2016–25
20162017201820192020*2021*2022202320242025
Algebra & formulae1914131114161619221418.310/10
Equations & inequalities131818911121713192117.710/10
Pythagoras, trig & bearings111524151061213221416.310/10
Mensuration1814101217141417161114.710/10
Functions & graphs161761514121114111714.010/10
Statistics915161413151311161313.310/10
Integrated real-world problem101011101011111011910.010/10
Numbers & indices48971110879108.710/10
Ratio, proportion & scales623983386108.010/10
Coordinate geometry490461169968.09/10
Probability85571361074107.010/10
Vectors104812101259636.010/10
Percentages59266829265.710/10
Sequences & patterns95111538413205.09/10
Financial arithmetic5315535115724.710/10
Matrices45546765534.310/10
Angles & polygons93406250394.08/10
Circle properties48564666334.010/10
Congruence & similarity888896141384.010/10
Rates, speed & travel graphs52543702242.79/10
Sets23243322242.710/10
Construction13030040031.05/10
Total printed marks180 marks each year (all ten years)180.0
Marks:01–34–67–910–1415+Darker = more marks

0 = no marks assigned to this primary topic. Avg = 2023–25 mean; it is not a forecast.

Start with the largest

Algebra, equations, trig, mensuration, graphs, statistics and the real-world problem form the top seven. Practise these deeply, then cover the remaining topics.

Recent patterns

Equations: 13, 19, 21 marks in 2023-25. Sequences: 13, 2, 0. A recent absence does not make a topic 'due'. Keep revising every topic.

Revise both papers

P1 rewards fluency across short, mixed questions. P2 asks you to sustain a method through linked parts. Use the separate heatmaps to plan both kinds of practice.

Source: the audited past-paper collection, main series only. Each mark is counted once; the final integrated problem is kept whole, including its supporting skills. *2020-21 use full printed papers, which may differ from adjusted exams. Historical frequency does not give a 2026 probability.

Paper 1: build fluency

Short, varied questions. Prioritise algebra, then keep number, geometry and data skills ready to use.

14 marksAlgebra & formulaeAverage per P1 in 2023-25
24%Algebra + equationsShare of P1 marks in 2023-25
5 topicsSeen in every P1 shownNumber, ratio, algebra, trig, stats

Where the marks went

Same topic order on all three heatmaps. The gold divider marks the 4052 syllabus years (2023 onwards); 4048 before.

Topic4048 syllabus4052 syllabus2023–25 avg marksYears seen 2016–25
20162017201820192020*2021*2022202320242025
Algebra & formulae13108599131518914.010/10
Equations & inequalities0465351157117.79/10
Pythagoras, trig & bearings2393465131339.710/10
Mensuration113404234956.09/10
Functions & graphs386316130104.39/10
Statistics4610679571188.710/10
Integrated real-world problem00000000000.00/10
Numbers & indices46969976576.010/10
Ratio, proportion & scales42398335444.310/10
Coordinate geometry40040002000.73/10
Probability20025232042.07/10
Vectors100537005634.77/10
Percentages23023225053.38/10
Sequences & patterns05063043201.76/10
Financial arithmetic53333205724.79/10
Matrices05040765001.75/10
Angles & polygons43406250332.08/10
Circle properties48502042332.78/10
Congruence & similarity23383641062.39/10
Rates, speed & travel graphs32340700041.36/10
Sets23243302201.38/10
Construction13030040031.05/10
Total printed marks90 marks each year (all ten years)90.0
Marks:01–34–67–910–1415+Darker = more marks

0 = no marks assigned to this primary topic. Avg = 2023–25 mean; it is not a forecast.

Drill the essentials

Factorise, simplify algebraic fractions and change the subject. Solve equations and inequalities. Then mix in indices, scale factors and proportion.

Practise explanations

Statistics appeared in 10/10 P1s. Revise graphs, averages and spread; explain misleading displays and sampling. Show geometric reasons clearly.

Allow for surprises

P1 graphs varied 3, 0, 10 marks in 2023-25. Trig varied 13, 13, 3. Practise mixed timed sets. P1 rose from 80 to 90 marks in 2023.

Source: the audited past-paper collection, main series only. Each mark is counted once; the final integrated problem is kept whole, including its supporting skills. *2020-21 use full printed papers, which may differ from adjusted exams. Historical frequency does not give a 2026 probability.

Paper 2: connect the steps

Longer, linked questions. Build models, interpret results and keep your working easy to follow.

9-11 marksFinal real-world problemIn every P2 shown, 2016-25
43%Equations, graphs, mensuration+ real-world: 2023-25 P2 share
6 topicsSeen in every P2 shownSee the 10/10 entries below

Where the marks went

Same topic order on all three heatmaps. The gold divider marks the 4052 syllabus years (2023 onwards); 4048 before.

Topic4048 syllabus4052 syllabus2023–25 avg marksYears seen 2016–25
20162017201820192020*2021*2022202320242025
Algebra & formulae64565734454.310/10
Equations & inequalities13141248768121010.010/10
Pythagoras, trig & bearings912151260709116.78/10
Mensuration71161213121113768.710/10
Functions & graphs13901213610111179.79/10
Statistics59686684554.710/10
Integrated real-world problem101011101011111011910.010/10
Numbers & indices02012111432.78/10
Ratio, proportion & scales20000003263.74/10
Coordinate geometry090061167967.37/10
Probability65558475465.010/10
Vectors043931254001.37/10
Percentages36243604212.39/10
Sequences & patterns9011908010003.35/10
Financial arithmetic0012203110000.04/10
Matrices40506000532.75/10
Angles & polygons50000000062.02/10
Circle properties00062624001.35/10
Congruence & similarity655060100321.77/10
Rates, speed & travel graphs20203002201.35/10
Sets00000020041.32/10
Construction00000000000.00/10
Total printed marks90 marks each year (all ten years)90.0
Marks:01–34–67–910–1415+Darker = more marks

0 = no marks assigned to this primary topic. Avg = 2023–25 mean; it is not a forecast.

Model and solve

Build equations from a situation; use quadratic and fractional equations. Practise graph plotting, tangents and straight-line intersections. Coordinate geometry: 6-9 marks in 2023-25.

Finish the reasoning

For mensuration, draw and label the solids. For probability, show complete cases and changing totals without replacement. Explain what a statistical comparison means.

Prepare for the finale

Practise unit conversions, costs, time and a justified decision. State assumptions and limitations. Finance can sit inside this question. P2 fell from 100 to 90 marks in 2023.

Source: the audited past-paper collection, main series only. Each mark is counted once; the final integrated problem is kept whole, including its supporting skills. *2020-21 use full printed papers, which may differ from adjusted exams. Historical frequency does not give a 2026 probability.

Paper 1 practice

P1 practice: core fluency

without notes.

01

Algebra: manipulate & rearrange

Family seen in 3/3 P1s (2023-25)

Factorise by grouping, expand brackets, simplify algebraic fractions and change the subject. The mix of skills changes each year.

Check: Cancel common factors, not terms. Keep brackets when substituting.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P1 Q20 [3]Factorise a rational expression
  • 2024 P1 Q12 [5]Substitute and change the subject
  • 2025 P1 Q5(b),(c) [4]Grouping; expansion and simplification
02

Equations: form, solve, interpret

Family seen in 3/3 P1s (2023-25)

Translate area or perimeter conditions into equations. Solve quadratics by the required method, including equations with algebraic fractions.

Check: Clear denominators carefully. Check roots in the original equation.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P1 Q22 [5]Equations from two rectangles
  • 2024 P1 Q25 [3]Solve by completing the square
  • 2025 P1 Q23 [5]Fractional equation becomes quadratic
03

Prime factors & indices

Family seen in 3/3 P1s (2023-25)

Use prime-power form for HCF, LCM, squares and cubes. Simplify expressions with fractional or negative indices.

Check: Prime exponents: even for a square; multiples of 3 for a cube.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P1 Q4 [3]Squares, cubes and LCM
  • 2024 P1 Q19 [2]Recover an integer from HCF and LCM
  • 2025 P1 Q24 [2]Fractional indices in an expression
04

Ratio, proportion & scale

Family seen in 3/3 P1s (2023-25)

Set up direct or inverse proportion, convert map units, square an area scale and find the limiting ingredient in a recipe.

Check: Match units before scaling. Check whether the scale is linear or area.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P1 Q24 [3]Inverse-square law; doubling distance
  • 2024 P1 Q6 [4]Map distance and area scales
  • 2025 P1 Q2 [4]Recipe scaling with limited ingredients
05

Percentages & financial maths

Family seen in 3/3 P1s (2023-25)

Work backwards through a percentage of a remainder. Distinguish simple interest, compound amount and interest earned.

Check: Use the correct original amount as the percentage base.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P1 Q7 [5]Reverse percentage of a remainder
  • 2024 P1 Q16 [3]Recover principal from interest earned
  • 2025 P1 Q3 [2]Simple interest: find the total amount

Then add four short drills

  • 2025 P1 Q6 [4]Inequalities and number line
  • 2025 P1 Q14 [3]Successive percentage changes
  • 2025 P1 Q18 [3]Change the subject
  • 2025 P1 Q19 [3]Minimum by completing the square

Sources: the 2023, 2024 and 2025 O Math 4052 P1 & P2 (With Worked Solutions) files. [ ] gives marks for the cited parts only. Family counts apply to the named paper; individual skills vary and cross-paper extras are excluded. These are revision priorities, not 2026 guarantees.

P1 practice: data & geometry

without notes.

06

Statistics: calculate & critique

Family seen in 3/3 P1s (2023-25)

Read median and IQR from cumulative frequency. Use grouped means and standard deviation. Explain weaknesses in sampling and displays.

Check: Compare both average and spread, in context. Avoid unsupported claims.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P1 Q8 [6]Cumulative frequency; grouped mean/SD
  • 2024 P1 Q21 [5]Unknown data value; compare mean/SD
  • 2025 P1 Q11 [4]Monthly sampling and misleading graph
07

Trig, bearings & Pythagoras

Family seen in 3/3 P1s (2023-25)

Choose Pythagoras, right-angle trig, the sine rule or cosine rule. Build the triangle first and relate its angles to north.

Check: Use full working for bearings; do not round intermediate lengths.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P1 Q23 [7]Bearings with sine and cosine rules
  • 2024 P1 Q10 [5]Right triangle and reverse bearing
  • 2025 P1 Q20(b) [3]Pythagoras in nested squares
08

Circle angles with reasons

Family seen in 3/3 P1s (2023-25)

Recognise equal radii, angles in a semicircle and a tangent perpendicular to a radius. Explain each step of an angle argument.

Check: Name the theorem and identify the relevant angle or radius.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P1 Q14 [2]Use equidistance to identify a circle
  • 2024 P1 Q13 [3]Circle angles; test a claimed tangent
  • 2025 P1 Q16(a),(b) [3]Tangent-radius and circle-angle reasons
09

Containers, volume & similarity

Family seen in 3/3 P1s (2023-25)

Relate radius to height in a cone. Use equal or fractional volumes to find water depth or empty-space depth in a composite container.

Check: For similar solids, take a cube root to get the linear scale factor.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P1 Q18 [4]Half-full cone and similar triangles
  • 2024 P1 Q26 [6]Cylinder-cone container; empty depth
  • 2025 P1 Q21 [5]Compare cylinder and cone fill depths
10

Vectors, ratios & collinearity

Family seen in 3/3 P1s (2023-25)

Build vectors along a route and divide a segment in a given ratio. Prove collinearity; also practise coordinate translation and magnitude.

Check: For collinearity, show a scalar multiple of vectors from one point.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P1 Q27 [5]Section ratio and collinearity proof
  • 2024 P1 Q27(a),(b) [6]Position vectors and an unknown ratio
  • 2025 P1 Q8 [3]Coordinate-vector and magnitude variant

Keep these less frequent skills ready

  • 2025 P1 Q7 [3]Construction and a feasible region
  • 2025 P1 Q26 [4]Line-curve inequality
  • 2024 P1 Q17 [2]Sets and complements
  • 2023 P1 Q25 [3]Recover terms from a sum formula

Sources: the 2023, 2024 and 2025 O Math 4052 P1 & P2 (With Worked Solutions) files. [ ] gives marks for the cited parts only. Family counts apply to the named paper; individual skills vary and cross-paper extras are excluded. These are revision priorities, not 2026 guarantees.

Paper 2 practice

P2 practice: linked methods

without notes.

01

Quadratics & modelling

Family seen in 3/3 P2s (2023-25)

Clear algebraic fractions, form time equations using distance/speed, and turn a geometric condition into a quadratic.

Check: Show how the equation is formed. Reject a root only for a stated reason.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P2 Q2(d) [5]Solve a fractional equation
  • 2024 P2 Q6(a)-(c) [9]Journey times; solve and reject a root
  • 2025 P2 Q8(a)(i),(ii) [5]Trapezium area leads to a quadratic
02

Graphs: read, draw & transform

Family seen in 3/3 P2s (2023-25)

Use a suitable straight line to solve an equation on a given curve. Estimate a tangent gradient with units; find exponential parameters.

Check: Make your new equation match the given graph. Label a large gradient triangle.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P2 Q4 [11]Plot a curve; line intersections
  • 2024 P2 Q4 [11]Graphical solution; exponential graph
  • 2025 P2 Q5(b),(c) [7]Tangent gradient; exponential parameters
03

Coordinate geometry

Family seen in 3/3 P2s (2023-25)

Combine gradients, point-on-line conditions, distances and division ratios. Form the equation of a line through a specified point.

Check: Use the actual direction vector for a gradient; substitute a known point.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P2 Q6(b) [7]Point on line; distance and section ratio
  • 2024 P2 Q3 [9]Intersection parameters; line and distance
  • 2025 P2 Q8(a)(iii),(b) [6]Distance, intercept and a parallel line
04

Mensuration: solids & sectors

Family seen in 3/3 P2s (2023-25)

Connect surface-area and volume formulae. Handle major arcs and overlapping sectors; conserve volume when a solid is melted.

Check: Count exposed surfaces correctly. Use only whole cubes before the remainder.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P2 Q3 [9]Hemisphere-cylinder area and volume
  • 2024 P2 Q8(a)(ii),(b) [7]Major arc and overlapping sectors
  • 2025 P2 Q6(b) [6]Pyramid melted into cubes and a sphere
05

Linked trigonometry

Family seen in 2/3 P2s (2023-25)

Link sine/cosine rules, triangle area and bearings or elevation. Work with similar right triangles and angles in radians.

Check: Check degree/radian mode. Carry unrounded lengths into later parts.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2024 P2 Q5 [9]Bearings, cosine rule and elevation
  • 2025 P2 Q4(a)(ii) [4]Perimeter from similar right triangles
  • 2025 P2 Q6(a) [7]Triangle area and sine/cosine rules

Add geometry proofs and vector work

  • 2024 P2 Q8(a)(i) [3]Congruence proof with circle chords
  • 2025 P2 Q4(a)(i) [2]Similarity proof
  • 2023 P2 Q6(a) [4]Column-vector combination
  • 2023 P2 Q5(a) [4]Circle angles, tangent and radius

Sources: the 2023, 2024 and 2025 O Math 4052 P1 & P2 (With Worked Solutions) files. [ ] gives marks for the cited parts only. Family counts apply to the named paper; individual skills vary and cross-paper extras are excluded. These are revision priorities, not 2026 guarantees.

P2 practice: data & decisions

without notes.

06

Probability without replacement

Family seen in 3/3 P2s (2023-25)

Read the correct population from a table or chart. Find probabilities for three selections, including exactly two of one type or all alike.

Check: Change denominators after each draw. Add all relevant, distinct cases.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P2 Q7(b) [5]Same transport; exactly two walkers
  • 2024 P2 Q7(b)(ii),(iii) [4]Histogram and three tomato selections
  • 2025 P2 Q7(c) [4]Two-way table; all of one handedness
07

Statistics: interpret the result

Family seen in 3/3 P2s (2023-25)

Use box plots and cumulative frequency for quartiles and counts. Estimate grouped mean/SD and explain the limits of grouped data.

Check: Use class midpoints for grouped estimates; support comparisons with values.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P2 Q7(a) [4]Box plots: count and compare groups
  • 2024 P2 Q7(a),(b)(i) [5]Grouped statistics; histogram limits
  • 2025 P2 Q2(a)(i) [3]Cumulative frequency: median and IQR
08

Real-world decision problem

Family seen in 3/3 P2s (2023-25)

Extract useful information, convert units, estimate quantities and costs, and justify a decision. Discuss assumptions and model limitations.

Check: Finish with a conclusion answering the claim, supported by your calculations.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P2 Q9 [10]Solar panels: energy and area estimate
  • 2024 P2 Q9 [11]Candles: materials, packs and pricing
  • 2025 P2 Q9 [9]Electric car: route, charging, time/cost
09

Matrices in a context

Family seen in 2/3 P2s (2023-25)

Build matrices with the right dimensions, multiply in the correct order and explain what the entries mean in the situation.

Check: Label rows/columns. Interpret the result as money, quantity or a weighted score.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2024 P2 Q2(a) [5]Seat-price matrices and cinema takings
  • 2025 P2 Q3(d) [3]Weighted test marks and interpretation
  • Extra: 2023 P1 Q21 [5]Cross-paper extra: nutrients and cost
10

Scale & linked-ratio problems

Family seen in 3/3 P2s (2023-25)

Convert microscopic or map scales. Square the linear factor for areas. Link two ratios and track a transfer between groups.

Check: Use a common unit and common ratio part before applying changes.

Past-year practice [marks]

  • 2023 P2 Q1(c) [3]Microscopic scale and standard form
  • 2024 P2 Q2(c) [2]Link afternoon/evening/night ratios
  • 2025 P2 Q3(b),(c) [6]Area scale; team ratios with a transfer

Keep short algebra and rotating topics ready

  • 2024 P2 Q1 [11]Inequalities, indices and algebra
  • 2025 P2 Q1 [10]Equations and algebraic fractions
  • 2023 P2 Q8 [10]Number-grid proof and sequences
  • 2025 P2 Q7(a),(b) [4]Sets, subsets and Venn shading

Sources: the 2023, 2024 and 2025 O Math 4052 P1 & P2 (With Worked Solutions) files. [ ] gives marks for the cited parts only. Family counts apply to the named paper; individual skills vary and cross-paper extras are excluded. These are revision priorities, not 2026 guarantees.

Prepared by ChatGPT from the audited past-paper collection (2016–25, main series). Revision priorities, not 2026 guarantees. Rebuilt here as a web page from ChatGPT’s 7-page guide; the numbers and wording are unchanged.